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Washington (CNN) -- Tapping away at his computer in the study of
the suburban compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, that he called home for
the last years of his life, Osama bin Laden wrote memos urging his
followers to continue to try to attack the United States, suggesting,
for instance, they mount assassination attempts against President Obama
and Gen. David Petraeus.
While he urged his organization on to
attack America, bin Laden was also keenly aware that al Qaeda was in
deep trouble because of the campaign of CIA drone strikes in Pakistan
and also because the brutal tactics of his followers had alienated many
Muslims.
According to senior Obama administration officials who
have reviewed the "treasure trove" of the thousands of documents that
were picked up by the U.S. Navy SEALs from bin Laden's compound in
Abbottabad, the leaders of al Qaeda understood that the group they led
was "beleaguered." CNN was given a briefing this week by senior
administration officials who have been analyzing the documents.
Bin
Laden wrote a 48-page memo to a deputy in October 2010 that surveyed
the state of his organization. He was particularly concerned that al
Qaeda's longtime sanctuary in Waziristan in Pakistan's tribal areas was
now too dangerous because of the campaign of American drone strikes
there that had picked off many of his key lieutenants.
According
to a count by the New America Foundation, the CIA launched a record
number of 118 strikes into the tribal regions during 2010, the year bin
Laden wrote this memo.
Bin Laden advised his followers not to
move around the tribal regions except on overcast days when America's
all-seeing satellites and drones would not have as good coverage of the
area.
He also urged his followers to depart the tribal regions
for the remote Afghan provinces of Ghazni, Zabul and, in particular,
Kunar, pointing out that the high mountains and dense forests of Kunar
provided especially good protection from prying American eyes.
Bin
Laden fretted about his 20-year-old son, Hamza, who had recently been
released from house arrest in Iran, instructing his deputy to tell his
son to move out of Waziristan. He also provided elaborate instructions
about how Hamza might evade the surveillance of the American drones in
the tribal regions by meeting members of al Qaeda inside a particular
tunnel on the road between the western Pakistani town of Kohat and the
city of Peshawar.
During his final days, bin Laden's world was
filled with paranoia. He instructed that Hamza should throw out anything
he had taken with him from Iran as it might contain some kind of
tracking device, and that he should avoid the company of a man who might
have ties to the Pakistani intelligence services.
Bin Laden also
reminded his deputies that all internal communications should be made
by letter rather than by phone or the Internet.
As a result,
according to administration officials, bin Laden had to wait for
responses to his queries to his deputies that could sometimes take up to
two or three months to be delivered -- surely not an efficient way to
run any organization.
Bin Laden also advised his lieutenants that
when they kidnapped someone they should take many precautions during
the negotiating process and also throw away any bags that contained
ransom money because they might also contain a tracking device.
The
spectacular set of self-inflicted mistakes made by al Qaeda's affiliate
in Iraq weighed heavily on the minds of bin Laden and his top advisers.
Privately, they criticized the brutal tactics of al Qaeda in Iraq,
which had provoked a tribal uprising against al Qaeda that had dealt a
large blow to the group's position in Iraq from 2006 onward.
Until
the end, bin Laden remained fixated on attacking the United States,
prodding his deputy to "nominate one of the qualified brothers to be
responsible for a large operation in the U.S."
According to
administration officials, bin Laden's number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri,
pushed back, telling bin Laden it was much more realistic to attack
American soldiers in Afghanistan than American civilians in the United
States.
Bin Laden did urge his followers to scope out
opportunities to attack President Obama or Petraeus while they were in
Afghanistan. At the time, Petraeus was the commanding general of NATO
soldiers in Afghanistan.
Bin Laden noted snidely that killing
Obama would pave the way for Vice President Joe Biden to assume the
presidency. The al Qaeda leader said Biden was "totally unprepared" for
the job.
Above all, bin Laden constantly fretted about his media
image, pointing out to his deputies that "a huge part of the battle is
in the media."
For the 10th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, bin
Laden wanted his media team to emphasize particularly that the wars in
Afghanistan and Iraq were one of the main reasons for the financial
crisis in the United States. (Bin Laden bought his compound in
Abbottabad with cash, so presumably he didn't quite understand the
dimensions of the subprime mortgage debacle.)
One of his media
advisers, who U.S. officials believe to be the American al Qaeda recruit
Adam Gadahn, suggested bin Laden take advantage of the 9/11 anniversary
in 2011 to record a 'high definition' videotape message that could be
given to all the major American news networks, except to Fox News, which
Gadahn said "lacks neutrality." It doesn't appear that bin Laden made
such a tape.
Administration officials say it is strange that in
all the documents recovered at the bin Laden compound there is no
mention at all of al Qaeda's plot to use liquid explosives to bring down
as many as seven American, British and Canadian passenger planes flying
from Heathrow Airport in 2006. If this plot had succeeded it might have
rivaled 9/11 as a spectacular attack.
Bin Laden moved into his
Abbottabad compound either at the end of 2005 or sometime in 2006 and an
administration official says that, perhaps, information about the
Heathrow plot "got lost in the move."
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Monday, 19 March 2012
Bin Laden's final days -- big plans, deep fears
Labels:
Afghanistan,
Gen. David Petraeus,
Iraq,
Kunar,
NATO,
Obama,
Osama Bin Laden,
United States
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